
for Thursday, 07 August 2008 [6:30 PM local]


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JULIAN (10W) MAX WIND SPEED PER AGENCY:

+ Hong Kong (HKO/10-min avg): 65 km/hr
+ Taiwan (CWB/10-min avg): 65 km/hr
+ Japan (JMA/10-min avg): 65 km/hr
+ South Korea (KMA/10-min avg): 65 km/hr
+ Beijing (CMA/10-min avg): 65 km/hr
TROPICAL STORM KAMMURI [JULIAN/10W/0809]
T2K PUBLIC ADVISORY NUMBER 013:
As of 5:00 PM local (09:00 GMT) Thu 07 August
Source: JMA TC WARNING [5 PM AUGUST 7]
Tropical Storm KAMMURI (JULIAN) is now making landfall anew over Northern Vietnam...weakening further...likely to be downgraded into a Tropical Depression later tonight.
*Kindly refer to your country's official warnings/bulletins. This advisory is intended for additional information purposes only.
+ Forecast Outlook: KAMMURI is expected to continue heading West for the next 24 hours across Northern Vietnam, dissipating within the next 24 hours.
+ Effects: KAMMURI's main circulation remains along the northern part of the Gulf of Tonkin, portion of Western Guangdong and is now spreading across Northern Vietnam and Southern portion of Guangxi Province. Widespread rains of up to 200-300 mm. and winds not in excess of 75 km/hr can be expected along the above areas. Residents in low-lying areas must seek higher grounds for possible flooding & landslides due to the anticipated heavy rains brought about by this disturbance. Precautionary measures must be initiated if necessary.
+ Current Monsoon Intensity: The Southwest (SW) Monsoon continues to be enhanced by TS KAMMURI (JULIAN) affecting Vietnam, the whole South China Sea and the western coastal areas of Luzon in the Philippines. This wind system is currently bringing cloudy skies with "on-&-off" to sometimes continuous moderate to heavy rains & winds not exceeding 50 km/hr. Landslides, mudflows (lahars) and flooding is likely to occur along steep mountain/volcano slopes, river banks, low-lying & flood-prone areas of the affected areas. Meanwhile, ITCZ (aka. Monsoon Trough) affecting the whole Philippines. It will continue to bring widespread scattered rains and thunderstorms - most especially in the afternoon or evening.
[Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook, effects, current monsoon intensity, & tropical cyclone watch changes every 6 to 12 hrs!]


Time/Date: 5:00 PM Thu August 07
Location of Center: 21.4º N Lat 107.9º E Lon
Distance 1: 220 km (120 nm) ENE of Hanoi, Vietnam
Distance 2: 260 km (140 nm) West of Zhanjiang, China
Max Winds (1-min avg): 65 kph (35 kts) near the center
Peak Wind Gusts: 85 kph (45 kts)
Saffir-Simpson Scale: N/A
Central Pressure: 990 millibars (hPa)
Recent Movement: West @ 13 kph (07 kts)
General Direction: Northern Vietnam
Size (in Diameter): 390 km (210 nm) / Average
Max Sea Wave Height (near center): 10 ft (3.0 m)
View JMA Tracking Map: 5 PM HKT Thu Aug 07
TSR Wind Probabilities: Current to 24 hrs lead
View Zoomed Satellite Pic: Near Real-Time
Notes: T2K translates all technical data terms into layman's form from JTWC and other source agencies for public understanding. Do not use this for life/death decision, kindly refer to your country's official warnings/bulletins. This site is intended for additional information purposes only. Local times are based on Philippine / Hong Kong / Shanghai Standard Times. Pressure Estimates & Philipppine Storm Warning Signals by: NRL & PAGASA. Max Wave Height by: NPMOC (USA). Live Naga City weather conditions (if available) taken from T2K`s new DAVIS VANTAGE PRO2 Digital Weather Station.
THE NEXT UPDATE WILL BE ISSUED AROUND 7 AM (23 GMT) TOMORROW, AUG 08.

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