[1] An increased chance for below-average rainfall for most parts of the
Philippines (except for the eastern sections of Luzon, Visayas & Mindanao
due to the bi-weekly recurrence of the Northeast Monsoon and moisture-
laden clouds brought about by the Easterly Trade Winds). El Niño and the
suppressed phase of the Madden-Julian Oscillation (MJO) favor low rainfall in
this region. Confidence: HIGH.
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Week Two (2) Forecast: FEBRUARY 09-15, 2010
[Tuesday to
Monday]
[1] An increased chance for below-average rainfall for most parts of the
Philippines (except for the eastern sections of Luzon, Visayas & Mindanao
due to the bi-weekly recurrence of the Northeast Monsoon and moisture-
laden clouds brought about by the Easterly Trade Winds). El Niño favors
low rainfall in this region. Confidence: HIGH.
Important Note: Please keep in mind that the
above two-week tropical forecast outlook, does not
guarantee 100%
accuracy! Errors & changes particularly the 2nd week forecast can happen within
the designated outlook
week.
:: Confidence Level [chance of happening]: LOW: <20% MODERATE: 20-50% HIGH: >50%
:: This outlook is issued for planners every Tuesday. ::
>> The next outlook will be issued on February 09, 2010.
Sources: NOAA Global
Benefits/Hazards Assessment & Various Numerical
Computer Models.
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